I want to point out several very important facts before I write more about my betting prediction for the match between Stoke City and Liverpool. The match will be played on the third day of Christmas in the English Premier League.
Fact number one. Stoke have never lost in the Premier League against Liverpool at home. Both teams have played four matches so far where Stoke has two wins and two draws.
Fact number three. Liverpool has won only twice as guest this season from 8 matches.
Fact number four. Liverpool is in the bottom of the table for teams which succeed in their goal attempts. So far the team has 12.13 average goal attempts per match and scored only 1.63 average goals per match. Most of the goals came in the victory with 2:5 over Norwich.
When making my betting prediction for the match between Stoke and Liverpool and when considering the four facts above it is really hard to understand why Liverpool are considered favorites in the match. The odds for their victory is 2.3 against 3.25 for the Stoke. The draw is estimated at 3.25.
Of course, you cannot say lightly that Stoke will win this match, but they definitely shouldn’t be put in the role of an underdog. I think the real odds for both teams are 2.6, especially since the statistics show that Liverpool hasn’t won in two consecutive matches as guest so far this season.
The fact is that the team is highly dependent on Luis Suarez and whether the Uruguayan striker has a day. Indeed, in the last game Steven Gerrard reminded his class, but now they will have against them the strongest defense in the league. Stoke is the team that let the least goals in the league – only 13.
That’s why I prefer the hosts from Stoke in this match and I will bet for them on Asian Handicap with margin of 0, 0.5, or written in another way 0.25. The odds for this bet is 1.95 proposed by Bet365.